Your Questions About How To Pick Stocks To Short

Richard asks…

How can I make a profit from the oil spill and loss of tourism?

What will happen if a hurricane passed made landfall over the gulf?
this is so exciting. what a time to be alive.
We are expected record breaking hurricanes and tropical storms.

Is it true, all the oil will be picked up and fall as acid rain, and millions of gallons of oil will wash ashore across 1000 miles of beaches?? oil on cars, houses, sand covered in oil., this is so exciting.

How can I make a profit from this? Can I short sell busineses listed on the stock market that are located on the gulf beaches
Should I short sell fishing stocks?

I wanna get rich.

John answers:

I’m considering bottling little samples of water, oil and sand from the gulf and selling them as souvenir pieces of America’s greatest disaster, on eBay.


Regards,

John Popelish

Steven asks…

What changes would you make to my short recap of G20 leaders in power?

France: Sarkozy: has been more successful with his Italian mistress than with reforming his country. Attempting to reform the retirement age has met much opposition, I hope he can actually commit to this reform.

Germany: Merkel: has maintained Germany as one of the strongest European economies through these hard times. But has an unrealistic political partner in the Liberal Party that thinks more thru ideology than realism.

UK: David Cameron: High hopes for the Conservative-Liberal alliance and it seems as if all is going smoothly…for now.

Italy: Berlusconi: if any one person could be blamed for Italy’s fall from a prominent world member I would blame Berlusconi, which is more interested in his personal intrests than Italy.

Australia: Julia Gillard: rough start for Australia’s first female leader. Lets see how she handles her unstable coalition.

Russia: Medvedev: really he is just a guy working under Putin, until Putin can be President again.

Turkey: Erdogan: has lead his party as the Islamic version of a Christian Democratic party of Europe. Turkeys stock is rising rapidly in world diplomacy, and he seems to be underminding the generals.

Saudi Arabia: Abdullah: a highly conservative country with much wealth based on oil. Slow reforms under his guidance.

South Korea: Lee: Has made some advances, but North Korea has been a major thorn to his administration.

India: Singh: did amazing things as finance minister that has brought on India’s amazing growth, but has failed to deliver as prime minister, mostly because he requires communists to hold a government, and poor health.

Indonesia: Bambang: under his leadership Indonesia is becoming south east asias new Thailand….before Thailand’s current issues of course.

Japan: Kan: governments in Japan are two cents a dozen ever since Koizumi left. Kan will likely last little and accomplish little.

China: Hu: The bad cop to Wen’s good cop. Both men have seen China’s huge rise. They must be doing something right. But there are always persistent questions of “how long can this type of growth last?”

Brazil: Lula: has done well to maintain his predecessors open market economic reforms that have lead to lasting growth. Has also done reforms to help ease the large income gap in Brazil, including incentives to get poor children into school. His saint like reign has been besmirked with corruption scandals tho.

Argentina: Christina Fernandez: Picked a fight against beef farmers which she lost misirably. The economy is going good tho under her rule. Strange relationship with the IMF, and debt.

Mexico: Calderon: intensified a drug war which seems to be going badly for Mexico.

Canada: Harper: Canada was largely untouched by the financial crisis, compared to other developed nations.

South Africa: Zuma: bad personal example with his many wives and unsafe sex, but had a good World Cup.

US: Obama: High expectations met realistic situations, leading to low poll ratings. Should have focused more on fixing his predecessors mess than passing his Health care bill.
EU: Rompuy has little real power.

John answers:

They would all have (dec.) following their names.

Joseph asks…

Take a look at my portfolio, are you impressed? I want to be a FUND MANAGER someday please read and HELP?

PLEASE READ THIS AND HELP ME IT’S MY DREAM

INTRO

IF you would please read this and look at my picks [ The link to my picks on CAPS are at the bottom of this page] I also have a post in my blog that proves this is me so you know. Anyway I would like to be become a “fund manager” and I could really
use your help in the sense of your opinion here; THIS IS MY dream so please take a little time to read this I HAD TO WRITE IT. The picks that you see on my caps account if you look where it says “stock gain”
you can see how much of a gain a stock has had that I picked. Some I have picked months ago especially the ones with higher gains Note: I HAVE MADE some dumb picks in there but the chart shows the good ones outweigh the bad by far – many I have kept for months i.e. the good ones I let the good ones ride.
Many of these stocks I have picked in the midst of this horrible recession and I have still made good gains in the long run.

MY STRATEGY

I don’t look at company sizes much, I look at efficiency FOR the companies size. I don’t care about what people are saying about the
economy their opinions come a dime a dozzen and that’s what they are worth. I try to follow good old fashioned value investing and a buy
and hold strategy of buying good businesses at reasonable prices ….nothing more nothing less. I don’t look at the price of the stock
to see if it’s cheap I look at the value to see if it’s cheap. I NEVER look at stock charts they skew my vision, I believe in good old fashioned good business
that must have an “advantage” or special place in the market. I look to see if the company has a moat or can charge more for their products without a serious
loss to business. I also NEVER sell a company based on what happens to the price when I buy it, something “fundamentally” has to happen to the company before I sell.
Just whispers or street talk doesn’t do it for me, when the business has bad numbers later after I buy it and don’t think about it I sell. It’s amazing that people buy and sell stocks
for just about every reason in the book except if the company is doing well or not. I am not college educated, I spell poorly, I don’t have good grammer, the only thing I feel that I can do well
is guage if a business will succeed or not note: I am 21 years of age.

EXAMPLES of MY STRATEGY

Anyway if you look in the gains collumn by each one of those stocks you can see my gains some of them are well above 50%.
For instance at the bottom you can see UVE a stock I picked. UVE is a great company they don’t have a lot of debt, they have a lot of cash for their size MORE THAN WAL-MART
the founder Mr. Bradly owns MOST the shares so he cares about the company, they pay a huge dividend, their products seem good, they have a high ROE return on equity. That’s why I choose them
that stock was worthy of my money and pick and I didn’t buy it thinking it was too cheap the market made it too cheap I didn’t; it was a hold position for me Gamestop is a great company esecially if
you can buy it in the 20s because they can charge more and get away with it i.e. addicted kids. The recession didn’t affect their company that much! Verizon has a huge moat and in the 20s or even lower 30s
it’s a buy with their huge dividend.

TO SUM IT UP
Anyway to make a long story short you can read some of my other pitches there on caps. So I was looking at a site like easy fund dot com or something and it says
that you can start your OWN hedge fund. Does anyone know anything about this? Do you think I am cut out to handle a lot of money? I have consistent long term gains to prove it
but would anyone listen? How can you get into doing something like this? How does a hedge fund manager get paid? explain please?

LINK TO MY PICKS CHECK IT OUT
http://caps.fool.com/player/theworldinvestor.aspx

John answers:

You have consistent long term gains and you are 21 years of age?

Not possible.

Keep it up…doing and learning are critical to long term success.

But

No one in the money management business will consider you having “consistent long term results” until you are over the age of 30 with at least 5 years managing OPM.

Get your degree in finance from a top school. Get a job at either a big fund company or a boutique with a good reputation. Get registered and licensed. And listen to your mentors.

Unless you are some body’s son (or daughter) your school, your company, and your mentor will be the three keys to success in money management…oh, that, and not flaming out.

On Flaming out.

Every 5 years or so a new crop of WizKids rise up, separating themselves from the chaff. They are usually 30-somethings who have been giving the full reigns of power within the last couple of years. They ride the new-new thing fast and hard. When the winds change they crash and burn. It wasn’t a new-new thing. It was the old old thing (being first to a new trend and riding the momentum up as everyone else catches on).

Ken asks…

how can i make my CV better?

NAME HERE
MY ADDRESS
NUMBER
EMAIL
20/01/92

Currently looking for part time work while I’m not at college.
I am able to work Tuesdays, Thursdays and weekends.

Profile:
Currently studying a BTEC National Diploma in TV & Film Production at The Confetti Institute of Creative Technologies. I’ve been working at Argos from November 2008 on the weekends during my time at Confetti where I take the role in many positions through my shifts such as stock room and shop floor.
Personal Skills and Attributes:
•Great cooperation skills and the ability to work as part of a team
•Always reliable and a trustworthy character
•Very flexible and able to adapt to new situations and surroundings
•Motivated and enthusiastic to the role committed to me
•Always polite and helpful to everyone
•Very good at problem solving/troubleshooting

Employment History:

I had a job at Argos, Bulwell from Oct 2008 – Jan 2010
•Responsible for picking stock as quick as possible
•Responsible for leading the stock room team and new Christmas temps
•Expected to give helpful customer service with a smile
•Problem solving with customers who are tricky to deal with
•Expected to follow the rules of the stock room at all times
•Relied upon to meet deadlines on tasks set specifically to me by the manager
•Responsible for tidying up the stock room and shop floor at the end of every day
•Able stay patient and handle aggressive customers

Education and Training:
•Passed 8 GCSE’s including maths, English, science and IT Practitioners
•Merit in first diploma media, Confetti
•Level 2 in communication and teamwork skills

Personal Interest
In my spare time I play a lot of sports and attend the gym regularly. My main hobbies being video editing: short films, music videos and documentaries outside of my college work. I am also very interested in learning languages; I speak a little Portuguese and currently teaching myself enough to become fluent.

WHATS WRONG WITH THIS? WHAT CAN I ADD?
I NEED A JOB!

John answers:

The best way to learn a new language is listen, and listen, and listen, word a word, phrase a phrase, every day.
See the free method of learning a language LingQ
http://www.lingq.com/?referral=tarcnux

Donald asks…

I need help with my Macroeconomic online class?

This is my assignment 1. Assume that each team member has $100,000 in savings. Create a portfolio of securities worth $100,000 X number of members in team. Decide what financial instruments you would like to use, then find their current prices in the newspaper. Imagine that you buy these stocks and bonds at the current prices and in the numbers you decide. Calculate your holdings of each security, based on current prices.

2. What objectives do you have for this portfolio? Was it chosen to maximize short-term gains, long-term stability, or some other objective?

3. Explain how each of the following economic events would affect the value of your portfolio.

a. an increase or decrease in interest rates

b. a recession

c. rapid inflation

d. a depreciation of the U.S. dollar

You may pick any mix of common stocks, mutual funds, and bonds. They could also be familiar, low-risk, but low-yielding bank accounts and certificates of deposit, or sophisticated financial instruments (if you understand them)

This assignment will introduce the tradeoff between risk and return and the concept of the risk premium.

Macroeconomic events will have impacts on financial markets. Portfolios heavily invested in cyclical stocks will give low returns in the event of recession.

Bonds and cash perform poorly with unanticipated inflation. Foreign-denominated assets may give high returns if the dollar depreciates. Interest rate changes can cause large swings in the value of bond-heavy portfolios

John answers:

As I know, this site has top listing of such college courses online – schools.iblogger.org

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