Your Questions About How To Pick Stocks To Short

Joseph asks…

How to pick a good short-term stock?

John answers:

Short term stock moves are always driven by some sort of catalyst: earnings announcement, news of a new product, an event that leads to interest in the stock, an analyst upgrade, good news for the industry in general (like higher retail sales on Black Friday helped all retail stocks), things like that. To take advantage of this, you need to stay up with the financial news, be alert for catalysts and take action swiftly. Then when the catalyst occurs, you SELL. If you were right and you made money, get out and take your profits. If you were wrong and lost money, you still sell because now that the catalyst has happened there is nothing else that will influence that stock price in the short term.

Linda asks…

How many stocks do you currently own and what are some hot short term and long term stock picks?

My stock portfolio currently looks like this:
1. Dell
2. Microsoft
3. Bob Evans
4. Suncor Energy
*** My hot stock picks would be energy stock. I’m currently waiting for more alternative energy stocks to go public.

What’s your stock portfolio look like and what are your stock pics both short term and long term? Let’s share information for the benefit of all.

Thanks!

John answers:

I have positions in over a dozen stock, most (but not all) or which are long.

I also have positions in over a dozen stock options, most (but not all) of which are parts of spreads.

My hot stock picks would be most likely to be financial companies that have been oversold.

Sandy asks…

I need help quickly icking stocks for an assignment. See details. Any suggestions?

Hello Everyone! I need help! I have never invested in stocks before and have just started a corporate finance class in college. We have an assignment and I need help determining the easiest way to pick stocks. The class is only seven weeks so I really am short on time as far as researching a lot of companies. I have taken a look at Yahoo’s site. I thought maybe I could look at specific industries, but I don’t know what specific $ to look at to narrow the companies down within those industries.

The assignments is as follows. We have $100,000 to invest in at least 3 companies and no more than 5. He says not to pick our stocks haphazardly as our grades will reflect how well the stocks that are picked perform in the current market conditions. We are to track the cost per share of the stock from week to week to see if we have a profit or loss in the investment. I do believe that it must be form the US stock market.
So would ROE be a good number to look at to narrow them down? What should I look at P/E, market capitalization, dividend yeild, ROE to narrow them down? I don’t want to just pick any stock, I want to find one that is going to do the best.

John answers:

There’s a good guide to this @ Fool.com
http://www.fool.com/school/basics/basics06.htm

Some picks I’d recommend are:
TOYOTA Motor Co. (TM) – one of the few car companies doing well

WALMART Stores (WMT) – mentioned in a fool.co.uk article about picks from Warren Buffett last April, as was
Anheuser-Busch (BUD) – brewers of BUDWEISER beer.
Http://www.fool.co.uk/news/comment/2006/c060404d.htm
And if you want to know anything about picking stocks, Warren Buffett is the person to learn from http://www.salon.com/people/bc/1999/08/31/buffett/

I find the best place to look-up stock quotes is:
http://quote.fool.com/ (for US Stocks)
& easier still
http://quote.fool.co.uk (UK version, which is easier still as all I have to do is take a quick glance at the financial forecast not featured in the US version, and have had stocks go over 100% in profit after a 30second glance at that)

William asks…

Is it too early to pick out some new clothes for after pregnancy?

I want to stock up on spring/summer dresses, tops, and shorts before my son gets here, because I know I won’t have enough time in March and April. Is February too early or should I just wait until May? I want to get my shopping urge done before he gets here. =)

How did your size change after your baby? I know my tops are going to have to be bigger. I went from a B cup pre-pregnancy to a D cup now.

Thanks!

John answers:

I would def. Wait! Your hips will change completely after you deliver your son! As far as tops, I would wait on that as weel. You may produce TONS of milk and get even bigger when he is born or you may produce just enough…either way I would wait to see how your body looks once he is born. That would suck to go shopping and then have to return it all for different sizes, I hate that!

Steven asks…

Type 56 SKS price question?

I have a Chinese type 56 SKS (Paratrooper short stock version) and I would like to sell it, but only for the right price. This rifle was given to me by my father back in the 90s. There is no sentimental value attached to this rifle, it has just sat in my safe over the years and collected dust. I also have a German surplus Bolt action rifle doing the same. I guess my question is, how much could I ask for each rifle? They are both in pretty good condition, a few dings and scratches in the stocks but zero rust. Is there a Kellies Blue Book out there for rifles? I want to squeeze as much money out of these two rifles as I can. Can someone please help me and thank you in advance.

Also 3rd question, I’m looking for a very steady accurate bolt action rifle from $6-700 range. Why pick a Rem 700 over say something else? Any advice would be welcomed.

John answers:

The SKS’s are starting to fetch a pretty penny in price. I don’t see them for less than $400 much anymore, which is just price gouging. But if it’s happening, you may as well join in on it. In good condition with a good bore, you can ask more.

As for the German bolt gun, I should tell you it’s worthless and you should sell it to me for $50…but I won’t. Odds are if it is actually German-made, it’s a Mauser K98. Again, depending on condition, these fetch anywhere from $300 upwards. If it’s in suspiciously good condition with a new stock and matching numbers and looks almost brand new, chances are it’s from Mitchell’s Mausers, and it’s worthless, as it’s a fraudulent copy of a German gun. But your father isn’t one of the people likely to fall for that scam, it’s mostly the kids who turn 18 and want a gun that they played with in Call of Doodie.

Sorry to get off-track, but if the German rifle is stamped “Mod. 98” on the left side (near the bolt housing), it’s a Mauser K98. These have a curved bolt and a flat rear sight adjustable to 2000m. If the left side is stamped with “Gew. 98”, it has a straight bolt, and it has one of these locations on there (Deutsche Waffen und Munitionsfabriken, Haenel, Sauer & Sohn, Waffenwerke Oberspree, Amberg, Danzig, Erfurt, Leipzig, Spandau) you’ve got a WWI Gewehr 98. These also run about $300-$400 upwards, and if there is a “1920” in addition to another date on the top of the receiver, you have one of the rare “transitional” rifles from WWI that received 98k rear sights and may have been shortened to 98k length. These fetch around $800 in good condition.

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